piemti
Huevon sin Vida
- Registrado
- 2004/08/20
- Mensajes
- 28.754
- Sexo
- MOH
tendrian un arsenal superior a 3000 ojivas nucleares muchas de ellas ocultas bajo tierra y nunca declaradas en ningún tratado.
guerra fría 2.0 NOW
http://www.defensene...D=2013301050003
http://actualidad.rt...inar-mitad-eeuu
guerra fría 2.0 NOW
TAIPEI — The U.S. military must consider both conventional and nuclear capabilities to “neutralize” China’s underground nuclear weapons storage facilities, according to a Pentagon authorization signed into law.
The new National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), signed by U.S. President Barack Obama on Jan. 2, orders the Commander of the U.S. Strategic Command (STRATCOM) to submit a report by Aug. 15 on the “underground tunnel network used by the People’s Republic of China with respect to the capability of the United States to use conventional and nuclear forces to neutralize such tunnels and what is stored within such tunnels.”
A Georgetown University team led by Phillip Karber conducted a three-year study to map out China’s complex tunnel system, which stretches 3,000 miles.
The 2011 report, “Strategic Implications of China’s Underground Great Wall,” concluded that the number of nuclear weapons estimated by U.S. intelligence was incorrect. His team estimated that as many as 3,000 nuclear weapons could be hidden within a vast labyrinth in several locations in China. U.S. intelligence estimates have been reporting consistently that China had, at the most, 300 nuclear warheads in its arsenal.
Karber’s report presents evidence of a complex system of tunnels in areas noted for nuclear testing and storage — a far greater subterranean cavity than needed for just 300 nuclear weapons.
NDAA sections 1045, 1271 and 3119 all highlight U.S. congressional concerns over China’s nuclear and military modernization efforts. Bonnie Glaser, a China specialist at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, doubts these sections of the NDAA will have major policy consequences for U.S.-China relations: “The intelligence community tracks China’s nuclear weapons closely — is a federally funded research and development center going to find a new threat?”
Overall, Glaser believes the new reporting requirements are a reaction to Karber’s work, making him one of a few lonely challengers to suggest that U.S. intelligence estimates are wrong.
The NDAA-directed report by STRATCOM must include identification of the knowledge gaps regarding such nuclear weapons programs and a discussion of the implications of any such gaps for the security of the U.S.
The report must also assess the nuclear deterrence strategy of China, including a historical perspective and the geopolitical drivers of such strategy, and a detailed description of the nuclear arsenal, including the number of nuclear weapons capable of being delivered at intercontinental range.
The report will also include a comparison of the nuclear forces of the U.S. and China, projections of the possible future nuclear arsenals of China, a description of command-and-control functions and gaps, assessment of the fissile material stockpile of China, and its civil and military production capabilities and capacities.
Karber takes little credit for the NDAA requirements, which many have begun calling the “Karber effect.” “I believe a number of events, not least of which being Chinese testing and deployment patterns, have motivated this tasking, and I will leave to others to assess what part our research played in stimulating or adding motivation to it,” Karber said.
Naysayers and skeptics of Karber’s conclusions abound. The language in the NDAA reflects several things, said Hans Kristensen, director, Nuclear Information Project, Federation of American Scientists.
These include a general concern and fascination with Chinese military modernization; fallout from the Karber study; claims by Karber and retired Russian Col. Gen. Viktor Esin that China has 3,600 nuclear warheads, which Kristensen views as erroneous and rejected by STRATCOM; lobbying by the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, which “see China as a small Soviet Union”; and “frustration among some, myself included, that the U.S. intelligence community and military is becoming more secretive about what it says about Chinese nuclear capabilities.”
Kristensen said this gradually increases the dangers of war between China and the U.S. “The two countries are dancing a dangerous dance that will increase military tension and could potentially lead to a small Cold War in the Pacific.”
He said most of the U.S. Navy’s ballistic-missile submarine force is operating in the Pacific, nuclear bomber squadrons periodically deploy to Guam and recently extended tours from three to six months, and more naval forces are being shifted into the Pacific.
The final question many analysts are asking is, how does the U.S. “use conventional and nuclear forces to neutralize such tunnels and what is stored within such tunnels”? Tests of low-yield earth-penetrating nuclear weapons such as the B61-11 have been disappointing with low penetration results. It is unclear if the Robust Nuclear Earth Penetrator program or the improved B61-12 have solved the problem, but given the locations, lengths and various depths of the tunnel system outlined in Karber’s report, more than one bomb would be needed to eliminate the threat.
So what has got the U.S. Congress so spooked about China’s underground tunneling program? Karber’s conclusions read like Cormac McCarthy’s post-apocalyptic novel, “The Road.”
Karber’s paper estimates in 2020-plus that China’s true nuclear arsenal, if used against the U.S. as a “counter-value attack,” would inflict 50 million direct casualties; plus-or-minus 50 percent would suffer radiation sickness ranging from debilitating to life-shortening; two-thirds of the 7,569 hospitals would be destroyed or inoperable and half the physicians would themselves be casualties. One-third of the electrical generation capacity and 40 percent of the national food producing agricultural land would be destroyed or exposed to significant residual radiation. 100 million Americans would face starvation within the first 10 years of the initial attack.
“Bottom line,” Karber’s report said, “200 million lost, and surviving Americans will be living in the dark, on a subsistence diet, with a life style and life expectancy equivalent to the Dark Ages.”
http://www.defensene...D=2013301050003
Nuevos datos sobre el número de armas nucleares que tiene China, y las consecuencias de una probable guerra nuclear entre las dos potencias, ha hecho al Gobierno de EE.UU. buscar con urgencia modos de “neutralizar la amenaza”.
La información, revelada por el portal 'DefenseNews', indica que el presidente Barack Obama firmó el 2 de enero un Acto de Autorización de Defensa Nacional (NDAA por sus siglas en inglés) que ordena al jefe del Comando estratégico de EE.UU. (STRATCOM, por sus siglas en inglés) comprobar la posible existencia de armas nucleares ocultas en túneles en China, aclarar lo que está escondido allí y desarrollar una estrategia de eliminación de la amenaza.
Según los datos obtenidos por los servicios de inteligencia estadounidenses, China goza de una red de túneles subterráneos, donde esconde un gran número de armas nucleares.
El informe, denominado 'Las implicaciones estratégicas de una subterránea Gran Muralla de China' que fue presentado por el investigador Phillip Karber, señala que la extensión de los túneles alcanza unos 4.500 kilómetros que podrían albergar alrededor de 3.000 tipos diferentes de armas nucleares. Anteriormente se pensaba que el país sólo tenía 300 armas nucleares en su arsenal.
Situación preocupante
Hans Kristensen, director del proyecto de Información Nuclear de la Federación de Científicos Estadounidenses ('Nuclear Information Project, Federation of American Scientists') indica que la política en los círculos militares de EE.UU. ha cambiado, "que los servicios de inteligencia y los militares se han vuelto más silenciosos acerca del potencial nuclear de China".
Kristensen advierte que esto, de una manera significativa, aumenta la amenaza de una guerra entre China y EE.UU. El especialista señala que submarinos con misiles balísticos están operando en el Océano Pacífico y que escuadrones de bombarderos nucleares periódicamente son desplegados en la isla de Guam.
Pronóstico oscuro
El análisis de la situación, hecho para evaluar las posibles consecuencias de un eventual ataque de China contra EE.UU., demuestra que dicha ofensiva nuclear causaría 50 millones de víctimas directas. Cerca del 50% de la población sufriría enfermedades por radiación, lo que incluye de una debilitación hasta el cese de la esperanza de vida y unos 5.000 hospitales serían destruidos. Además un tercio de la capacidad eléctrica del país sería destruida y el 40% de la tierra utilizada en la producción de alimentos sería contaminada por la radiación. Al menos 100 millones de estadounidenses sufrirían hambruna durante los primeros 10 años desde el primer ataque.
“En fin, 200 millones de muertos, mientras que los sobrevivientes vivirían en la oscuridad, con poca comida de un modo y esperanza de vida similar al de la Edad Oscura”, concluyó Phillip Karber, el autor de la investigación.
http://actualidad.rt...inar-mitad-eeuu
el legado de los filosofos.
Ley de Mienti
